Archive for the 'Politics' Category

09
May
13

It’s a mad, mad, mad, mad world by Dr. Iain McGilchrist

In this excellent TVO video Dr. Iain McGilchrist discusses his take on psychology, speculates that many psychological disorders may be due to problems with the right hemisphere of the human brain and suggests that this may be associated with the way we now live. He ends by describing a world in which the left hemisphere dominates (51:53):

Loss of the broader picture…..knowledge would become replaced by information, tokens or representations…wisdom lost all together…..loss of concepts of skill and judgment as too vague…..instead…algorithms., procedures and constant need for verification…things would become more abstract….matter would be just mere matter……spend a lot of time in our heads…. bureaucracy would have a field day…..need for procedures that are known…..anonymity….predictability, explicit abstraction….loss of sense of uniqueness……quantity not quality..….reasonableness would be replaced by rationality…..failure of common sense…..maximize utility….loss of social cohesion….a lot of paranoia…need for total control…..CCTV and monitoring at all times……anger and aggression…..would become ….predominant…..see ourselves……as victims…….art would become conceptual….music would be reduced to little more than rhythm………language would become diffuse and lacking in concrete reference……..undercutting of the sense of wonder……tied down by a network of small complicated rules…….no longer rely on tacit implicit understanding and trust….all this would be accompanied by a dangerous unwarranted optimism.

Dr. Iain McGilchrist then says: “if that rings any bells?”

Rings any bells?!!! I feel like the The Hunchback of Notre-Dame.

It’s a Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World

Rose

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25
Apr
13

Here we go again – Syrian WMD

WMD or a new Tesco?

WMD or a new Tesco?

Stupid people run our lives. This was made obvious back in February 2013 when the footballer Paul Elliott resigned his posts at the Football Association as well as trusteeship of the anti-racism campaign group Kick It Out because he used the word “nigger” in a text message argument with another black football player.

Elliott has received the CBE for services to equality and diversity in football and is quite obviously not a racist yet he was forced to resign by the witch hunt mentality that prevails in British public life.

The reason that we oppose racism is that it causes harm to people. We’re not against racism when an American is deemed friendly, a German efficient or an Englishman polite. We’re against it when certain groups are discriminated against. When they lose out to other groups when applying for work or are unjustly hassled by the police. Of course we should avoid using racially derogative terms when referring to people but the single use of such a word should not be a litmus test of racism.

Public life is dominated by people so lacking in judgment that they rely on idiotic rules and this is the way with much of 21st Century life. This same knee jerk mentality seems now to be pushing the United States into another war. President Obama has previously said that the use of chemical weapons by Syria would be a “red line” that could trigger U.S. reaction. Today, the United States Secretary of Defence, Chuck Hagel, put out a statement saying that “that the U.S. intelligence community assesses with some degree of varying confidence that the Syrian regime has used chemical weapons on a small scale in Syria, specifically the chemical agent sarin.” -  the talk now is of whether Syria has crossed that red line.

HANG ON A MINUTE! - Statements put out by government departments are always very very carefully worded and this statement reeks of indecision – “WITH SOME DEGREE OF VARYING CONFIDENCE”???!!!!!…..They’re TALKING BOLLOCKS!

Obviously the statement has been constructed under pressure and the authors have made damn sure they express themselves in terms which commit themselves to precisely nothing. It’s interesting to speculate on how the story originated. A brief perusal of the web reveals that a vague article in the London Times on 13th April 2013 stated “Forensic evidence of chemical weapons use in Syria has been found for the first time in a soil sample smuggled out of the country in a secret British operation. Defence sources, who declined to be named, said yesterday that conclusive proof that “some kind of chemical weapon” had been fired in Syria had been established by scientists at the Ministry of Defence’s chemical and biological research establishment at Porton Down in Wiltshire.”

So we have a story from an unnamed source that some soil in Syria may be contaminated by some unspecified chemical weapon. The Times is a News International rag and, for Rupert Murdoch, this constitutes hard news.

First we should question whether this story and the subsequent statement by Mr. Hagel have any merit at all. If the British government do have contaminated soil from Syria then let them say so; it’s worth investigating. But rather than setting trip wires that commit Americans to combat and potentially death let’s think this through.

Why do we abhor Weapons of Mass Destruction? It’s not because they kill people, many weapons do that. It’s because they kill masses of people. Hydrogen bombs are an obvious example but gas attacks are another. So if we are looking for evidence of the use of WMD we should be looking for far far more than traces of some bloody substance in a plastic tub of questionable providence. We should be looking for masses of dead people. If Assad is using Sarin to run his lawn mower we should not give a toss. If he’s exterminating thousands with pick axe handles we should sit up and take notice. We should consider the crime not the mechanism used to commit the crime.

Like the absurdity of discerning racism by a single casual word the existence of a few grams of chemical is not a defining piece of evidence. The West has a history of intervening in the Middle East and all interventions are couched in altruistic arguments designed to placate the electorate but fundamentality all interventions have been for the benefit of Western countries.

The decision of whether to intervene in Syria is a difficult one but the United States should resist being bounced into another war by idiots and war mongers.

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15
Apr
13

Thatcherism – What really happened?

Rose tinted spectacles?

Rose tinted spectacles?

Margaret Thatcher died on 8th April 2013 and this has caused quite a stir. Many people look back at her premiership with rose tinted spectacles while others roundly condemn her for ruining British industry, causing mass unemployment and generally creating hell on Earth. On TV everyone has something to say. Ken Livingston said that Britain was in trouble because we had lost our manufacturing base whereas Germany had retained theirs and were doing very well. Sounds reasonable until one considers that France and Italy held on to their manufacturing base and are in a worse state than the UK.

Most Labour MPs condemn the life and works of Mrs. T. but I wonder how things would be if she had died in 2006 with Labour doggedly following her policies toward new heights of hyper-commercialism. The gravy train still rolling. One can only guess at the sycophantic eulogising of Blair and Balls. Of course 2006 may have been too early to judge as the full effects of her policies had not been played out but one could argue that in 2013.

Broadly the argument is that rising prosperity for some was at the expense of mass unemployment for others and people love or loathe her dependent on their place in this picture. A friend complained that she could not get a job after Thatcher came to power in 1979 and I countered that during the 1979 election campaign the Tories ran a poster showing a long queue of people at an unemployment office with a strap line reading “Labour Isn’t Working“. This implied that unemployment was a problem prior to the Thatcher government. Both my friend and I had recounted our memories but anecdotal evidence is always biased. We need dispassionate analysis. We need statistics. Luckily vast quantities of data are now available via The Internet.

So I set about finding a graph showing unemployment from the 1970s onward and it seems to be true that unemployment increased dramatically under the Thatcher government. The graph is shown at the end of this article along with several others. So what else can statistical graphs sourced from The Internet tell us?

Well, the price of crude oil took off in the 70s and this had a negative impact on the British economy but it’s interesting to note that UK North Sea oil production also took off in the late 70s and overtook consumption around 1979. House prices rose substantially after 1979 though we should remember that they rose absurdly fast under Tony Blair’s government too. UK debt dropped substantially under Thatcher but later climbed back again and base rates rose substantially. The one achievement that can be attributed to the Thatcher government seems to be conquering inflation.

It’s also interesting to see that real disposable income rose steadily after WW2 dipping just before Mrs. T was elected, then rising more quickly, flattening off in 2006 and then declining after 2009.

sold out to commercialism?

Sold out to commercialism?

There was controversy when the Labour Isn’t Working poster appeared because it used actors. These days we accept that images used in advertising are not real. Musicians and film stars who were our heroes used to disdain advertising but Brian Ferry worked for Marks and Spencer, John Lydon sold butter and Christmas saw Scarlet Hohanson on our TV flogging perfume. Our heroes have sold out.

Sometime in the 1980s I recall an American friend telling me that England was “so inconvenient” as she desperately pushed coins into one of those idiot public telephones before the pips cut her off. It’s true, it was inconvenient, and inefficient and we were materially poorer. But I preferred the old slam door trains and the open backed buses. You could open doors and windows yourself rather than waiting for some bloody system to do it for you. We seem to have become richer in private material goods but more restricted and poorer in communal resources. Also poorer in space, time and trust. We live in a less gentle time.

This may be mere nostalgia and I expect that were I transported back to 1979 I would rail against the paucity of TV stations, the slowness of road transport, the limitations on pub opening times and the dreadful food.

All this crystallised in my mind the idea that the death of Margaret Thatcher is a perfect opportunity to review post war political, economic and social policy. A chance to cut through the political spin and partisan prejudice and get a long view of the period when Britain morphed from the land of respect for nobility and knowing your place to a dog eat dog free for all.

The BBC should commission a documentary or even a series. Some questions that might be asked:

  • Was the country really in a mess when Thatch took over?
  • What were the problems?
  • What were the alternatives to economic liberalism?
  • Was the economic boom unleashed by the Tories and driven to ludicrous heights by Tony Blair anything more than a debt fuelled bubble?

A selection of graphs are listed below. While reviewing these stats it became apparent that the more one learns the more questions arise. For example are we talking about long term or short term unemployment? Each may have different causes and effects. Fortunately numerous excellent resources are available on the web where one can access such data. e.g. Google Public DataPublic SpendingOffice for National StatisticsNationMaster.

Unemployment

Unemployment

Crude Oil Price

Crude Oil Price

Oil Production/Consumption

Oil Production/Consumption

UK Inflation

UK Inflation

UK Debt as % of GDP

UK Debt as % of GDP

Private Debt

Private Debt

UK house prices

UK house prices

Disposable Income

Disposable Income

Spending

Public Spending

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30
Mar
13

Forget Cyprus – Cameron is raiding British bank accounts

Rainy Days

Rainy Day Blues

The UK national debt stands at over a trillion pounds or around 88.7% of total GDP. That’s £18,506 for every man, woman and child in the UK, more than £40,771 for every person in employment. Every household will pay £1,918 this year, just to cover the interest

Party politics has become overblown rhetoric about cutting fast or slow but this is a smoke screen while the politicians get on with the real job of raiding our savings. If you don’t read all this article then at least skip to the end to read the extraordinary quote from last week’s Economist.

By rights, at the time of the credit crunch in 2008, the banks should have gone bust and three groups of people would have lost out. Those who owned shares in the banks, those who had entrusted the banks with investment money (often other banks) and those with savings in the banks of over £50,000 as this was the government backed deposit guarantee in place at the time.

This would have been bad but it would have been the most fair outcome because all three groups had chosen to entrust the bank with their money. Admittedly the savers did not think that they were taking a risk but what can you do? Shit happens. The point is that only people with a stake in the failed bank should have lost out.

Saving and investing is an intrinsic part of our economy and necessary for industry and to provide funds for people in retirement. The British government chose to bail out the banks because they judged that to allow the banks to fail would have wreaked havoc in the British economy and there seems to be consensus that this was the right thing to do. However, by doing this, everyone, including people with no investment or savings or any other relationship with the failed banks were forced to repay the debt.

On the face of it, share holders have only partially lost out as the value of their asserts declined but savers have not lost out and the bankers themselves have actually increased their remuneration with the idiotic assertion that we need them to steer a safe course out of this crises.

Meanwhile the British population are suffering a stagnating economy and cuts. This is, of course, fundamentally unfair.

Now the banks of Cyprus are in trouble and the European Union is trying a different tack. Cognisant of the fact that a lot of rich (and supposedly dodgy) Russians have money in Cypriot banks they are trying to force investors and savers to share directly in the cost of the bail out. This sounds reasonable but seems to be causing uncertainty which could lead to the turmoil that everyone agrees should be avoided. Perhaps the blank cheque bailout was the best option after all?

To protect savers and investors or not to protect them, that is the question. Should tax payers take on the debts of others or accept market turmoil by allowing the banks to fail?

Perhaps none of this matters after all?

It took Dr. David Starky on the BBCs This Week program on Thursday night to say what politicians of all stripes are keeping quiet about: the pound has been devalued 25% since 2008 by Quantitative Easing. Perhaps prompted by Dr. Starky’s forthright statement, last week the Economist put it more succinctly in an article entitled The Financial-Repression Levy:

“In the developed world total debt (including that of the financial sector, consumers and companies, as well as governments) is so high that it is implausible that it can be repaid via the fruits of economic growth. The debt must either be written off (defaulted on) or slowly inflated away. That means inflicting pain on someone: sorting out the crisis has been so difficult because no one wants to take the hit.

The Cypriot deal is a very clumsy attempt at a write-off. Your humble deposits are banks’ debts. So taking the deposits and using the proceeds to recapitalise the banks is a roundabout way of defaulting. But any form of outright default creates the potential for contagion.
Because it is more subtle, financial repression (any of the measures that governments employ to channel funds to themselves) is more successful. It was the way that many countries reduced their debt burdens after the second world war. It takes advantage of the phenomenon of money illusion: people get confused between nominal and real numbers.
The danger is that savers will eventually get wise to the erosion of their spending power….”

In short: we’re all shafted as the politicians take advantage of our economic naiveté to raid our savings and investments to repay the debts incurred by greedy bankers.

Oh Bollocks!

Saving is now a guaranteed way to lose money

Saving is now a guaranteed way to lose money

st malo beach

St Malo Beach

17
Mar
13

We happy few

Terry Thomas

Terry Thomas and Benjamin ZephaniahShopkeepers?

How I Killed Pluto is a book which tells the story of how the planet Pluto was demoted from a planet to a planetoid. The logic seems to have been that since the Kuiper Belt is belt of planetoids and Pluto is part of the Kuiper Belt then Pluto must be an planetoid. – QED.

Only no. Not QED. The book tells how, some years ago astronomers thought that the universe consisted of stars which moved across the heavens together and planets which moved with reference to the background of stars. Planets could also be seen as discs whereas stars could only be made out as points of light.

Then, in 1801, Giuseppe Piazzi discovered Ceres.

I’ll let Wikipedia take up the story from here:

“Ceres was originally considered to be a new planet. This was followed by the discovery of other similar bodies, which, with the equipment of the time, appeared to be points of light, like stars, showing little or no planetary disc, though readily distinguishable from stars due to their apparent motions. This prompted the astronomer Sir William Herschel to propose the term “asteroid”, coined in Greek as ἀστεροειδής asteroeidēs ‘star-like, star-shaped’, from Ancient Greek ἀστήρ astēr ‘star, planet’. In the early second half of the nineteenth century, the terms “asteroid” and “planet” (not always qualified as “minor”) were still used interchangeably.”

Later, some pompous oaf decided that the star like planets were not planets at all – Ooh, no Mrs. how foolish to refer to them as planets when a planet has a discernible disc – The trouble with this argument is that, as telescopes improved it became possible to discern the discs of many objects including stars. So, should Alpha Centauri now be demoted to a planet?

For me, the whole wahala points up the obsession men have with categorising things. The average American supermarket carries 47,000 categories of product. Like an American supermarket, the universe is big and diverse but it is not full of different categories of identical objects. It is not full of things that are either Marmite or asteroids. In nature, at the super-atomic level, objects may be similar but they’re unique – like people.

It’s ridiculous but men get into heated arguments about such stuff. In 1799 a preserved platypus reached England and was regarded as a hoax because it didn’t fit an existing category but the platypus was rummaging around Australia long before men invented the categories of mammal, reptile and bird so the categories had to be amended. Categories, such as planets and mammals and Englishman, are artificial. They’re invented by humanity and imposed on the universe.

Identifying seems important to us especially when it comes to our own identity. Recently I read a definition of Englishman which stated: a man who lives in England. Broadly I agree. I say broadly because setting foot on English soil does not make you English anymore than emigrating strips you of that distinction.

A century ago Englishmen had a similar understanding of identify. An Englishman meant a man from England but, in those days, this overwhelmingly translated to white, Christian, English speaking and superior to everyone else. Today white and Christian is not a true representation of people living in England. As with astronomy and zoology so with cultural identity. We must redefine our definition to include the people who do live in England rather than trying to reject those who do not fit our old definition.

Not fitting the definition

neither a planet nor an asteroid

On Sunday, at an airport, I overheard a tall gentlemen with a turban and that accent that Englishmen develop after spending a long time in America. He raved about the English breakfast but, to me, his tone seemed false which wasn’t helped by his American pronunciation of the word “Tomato”. As with many Anglo/American expats he seemed  keen to prove his Englishness by his choice of breakfast.

Do we possess our identity or is it in the eye of the beholder? In a world of global travel, global brands and online “virtual communities” cultural identity is not as simple as geography. Englishmen of West Indian ancestry are no less English for embracing their cultural heritage but Englishman whose ancestry lies  in England are not bigots for taking pride in their roots.

The term English has different meanings in different contexts. Obviously English can mean a person from England but equally it can relate to cultural ephemera. A penchant for bland food, a style of curries, a certain humor, smugness. politeness. a propensity for getting drunk – Take your pick. This is not a problem and we don’t need politicians or pundits to define Englishness for us. Over time various traits die off, rub off on or are accentuated by new arrivals just as the traits of newer arrivals die off, rub off on or are accentuated by the general population. This should not be controversial. It  is only to state the bleeding obvious.

To insist that Englishness means no more than resident of England is as insulting as asking an Englishman of West Indian heritage to take the “cricket test” and as redundant as trying to fix Englishness to an outdated set of traits. England, like the rest of the world, is a miasma of waxing and waning cultural phenomena or memes. Bollywood, Cricket, Lamb Madras, Punk Rock, Henry VIII, Mini, The Turbine Hall, Mr. Shake Hands Man, The Green Man, Brit Art, Banter, Spag Bol, suet puddings, Morris Men, Fleur-de-lis, Sunday joint, Ping pong, Routemasters, Nah mean, The Angel of the North, Spitfires, Ska, Cool, Pub grub, Hip Hop, the NHS, Football, the weather, Top Gear, The Queen Mother, Coca Cola and Titter Ye Not. All are bubbling away and, thank God, we somehow resist politicians of all stripes who attempt to steal the moral high ground by defining Englishness. Perhaps the best guidance for a definition of Englishness comes from Frank Howard: Please yourselves!

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09
Feb
13

Art in Rome – All hail the EU Teflon Targets

Rome Convention Center by Fuksas Associati

Rome Convention Center by Fuksas Associati

Ah Rome. The Eternal City. The ancient monuments, the romance, the pizza. The eternal bloody queue for Easyjet. I’ve visited before and appreciated all this but last week I was struck by the art. Johnny Roman is not ashamed of his interest in art. Good for him. On arriving in my hotel the curtains were drawn. I opened them and there was this thing sitting there embedded in the half constructed building next door. At first I thought it might be an attempt to construct a giant flying saucer in the middle of an office block. Perhaps they thought it would be inconspicuous - it was not! In fact it was the half constructed Italian Government’s Congress Centre designed by Massimiliano Fuksas and which will contains an enormous ‘cloud’ made of teflon. That’s right, you read correctly. A cloud made of teflon and what’s more the cloud will glow from within, and will contain an auditorium. What I was viewing was the skeleton of this building. Why Teflon? Well your Roman doesn’t eat much fried food and so they have no real use for their their quota of EU teflon production and so they have decided to paint it all over their public buildings. Imaginative thinking you see.

Hotel dei Congressi, Rome

Hotel dei Congressi, Rome

In England we have consternations and letters from Prince Charles whenever the Shard or the Gherkin are mentioned but your Roman takes pride in this sort of nonsense. In the office the next day I found a dozen paintings in the style of a range of famous artists portraying the company product. Witty and fun. Later, after I’d had a chance to explore the hotel, I found a selection of artwork decorating the interior from statues and paintings to some beautiful small model buildings. This is not to say that Rome does not suffer the ghastliness of hyper-capitalism like the rest of us. At the airport, while taking pictures, I was told to refrain as photography was “not possible”. However, I managed to get this glimpse of the almost Soviet advertising poster for some kind of photocopy machine. All hail to the polit bureau for another year exceeding EU teflon production targets!

Una storia de condividere ogni giorno (All hail the EU Teflon Targets)

Una storia de condividere ogni giorno (All hail the EU Teflon Targets)

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08
Feb
13

Love your neighbor as yourself

st malo beach

St Malo Beach

15
Dec
12

U.S. drugs ‘n’ guns policy is arse about face

back to front

back to front

Yesterday we heard of yet another dreadful killing by a lone gunmen in the United States and, as usual, there are calls for greater gun control. Just as predictably we can expect the gun lobby to protect their rights under the United States Constitution Second Amendment: The Right to keep and bare arms.

There can be little doubt that the prevalent of guns in the U.S. is a contributing factor to the high number of murders but regular rampages by lone gunmen are not the only downside to the supposed protection of Americans rights. The Wikipedia list total firearm related deaths per 100,000 per year lists the United States as 12th. That doesn’t seem too bad until you notice that the countries which are worse than the U.S. are those such as El Salvador and Colombia. Countries which are more usually compared with the U.S. such as those of Western Europe they are way down the table. France is at 26 and Germany at 51.

An article by David Wagner in The Atlantic Wire claims that research shows that strict gun control laws do lead to fewer deaths. Interestingly Switzerland has no standing army and relies on a people’s’ militia who keep their guns at home and Switzerland ranks at 16 on Wikipedia,

But Americans are not the only people to suffer from lax U.S. guns laws The Economist has run several articles lately on Mexico, a country with a growing economy but which is held back by murderous and ruthless drug gangs. And where do these gangs get their guns? The United States of course.

Drugs and guns are very similar, they’re both great fun but and both potentially lethal. The difference being that drugs are made in the developing world and guns in the developed world. To quote The Clash: “In a war-torn swamp stop any mercenary, ‘n’ check the British bullets in his armoury”

U.S. policy on drugs is to ban them and blame the manufacturing countries. U.S. policy on guns is to sell them to anyone who wants them and blame the consumers. Perhaps the policies are just back to front?

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Images

Palace of Culture and Science

Palace of Culture and Science

Palace of Culture and Science

Palace of Culture and Science

Triumph of Technology Over Tradition

Window

Self Portrait

Sunset

Low Tide

Low Tide

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