Posts Tagged ‘The West

02
Feb
11

Democracy in the Arab world – Everyone’s a winner

She wont vote for militant Islam

She wont vote for militant Islam

This evening BBC Radio 4′s Moral Maze is discussing the unrest in Egypt. I usually find this program to irritating to listen to. The panelist seem to consider that it is their soul objective to be obnoxious and insulting to the “witnesses”.

In describing tonight’s program the BBC web site asks: “Is it morally justifiable to tolerate or support unpleasant, authoritarian, undemocratic regimes because we feel the likely alternatives might prove worse for the citizens of Egypt.”

My answer is simple: NO! No because it is wrong to support unpleasant, authoritarian, undemocratic regimes. NO because we cannot know what the alternative will be. And NO because we have experience of what happens when revolution finally breaks out in countries where the West has connived to suppress democracy. i.e. the people despise the West along with the dictator which they have just thrown off.

The classic example of this is Iran. In 1953 the democratically elected government of Iranian Prime Minister Mohammad Mosaddegh was overthrown in a coup d’état instigated by the United States and the United Kingdom. Mohammad Reza Pahlavi was installed as Shāh and propped up by the United States until the revolution in 1977.

From what I have read the revolution was initially backed by a secular movement but militant Islamists used the chance to grab power. Secular Iranians tried to resist but were crushed by the new regime of Ayatollah Khomeini. They could have received help from the West but having been responsible for 20 years of their repression we were not trusted and there followed a caustic division between Iran and the West that lasts ’till this day. That is an example of what happens when we support unpleasant, authoritarian, undemocratic regimes because we feel the likely alternatives might prove worse.

We should support the people of Egypt in ejecting their dictator. If they then elect an authoritarian Islamist government then more fool them. At least the responsibility will not be ours and when they are finally in a position to reject authoritarianism we will be in a position to help.

More optimistically I believe that Egyptians will have learned from the experiences of Iran and Afghanistan and will reject outright Islamist rule though Islamists may have some role in a coalition. It is possible that Egypt could finally break the curse that has afflicted the Arab world for decades and start to modernise.

Imagine a middle east of modern democratic countries right on the border of the largest trading block in the world. I am talking of the European Union. While the world obsesses over whether China will supplant America as the largest economy in the world they overlook the fact that the EU has an economy larger than both. With the Arab world modernising trade would take off and this would be great news for Arabs and Europeans.

The financial crisis has caused market uncertainty and companies have been nervous about initiating capital projects. Investors are also unenthusiastic as many assets appear overpriced; there is even talk of a Chinese asset bubble. Consequently some sectors, such as insurance, are awash with capital.

If democracy were to blossom then this capital could find it’s way to infrastructure projects in the Arab world. There was speculation in The Economist in 2009 of solar powered electricity generation in the Sahara with the electricity transported to Europe across the Mediterranean. That is not going to happen while the region is ruled by unstable dictators.

Lastly consider the effect on the Arab / Israeli conflict. Today the subtext of much of Israel’s argument is that the Palestinians are just Arabs who are used to being oppressed and the Palestinians are no worse off than citizens of other Arab countries.

Imagine if Israel were surrounded by thriving democracies. Israel would be forced to confront it’s oppressive and racist policies toward the Palestinians. Could The United States continue to support the siege of Gaza or the ethnic cleansing of Palestinians? Shame on them if they did.

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20
Dec
09

China in Who’s hands?

Where is his mandate?

President Hu - Who made him leader?

There is an interesting article in todays’s Independent blaming China for the failure of the Copenhagen climate summit. The article quotes a source who was supposedly in the room when the heads of state were drafting the document who says:

“If China had not been in that room you would have had a deal which would have had everyone popping champagne corks…..”

“The Chinese were happy as they’d win either way. If the process collapsed they’d win because they don’t have to do anything and they know the rich countries will get the blame.

“If the deal doesn’t collapse because everyone is so desperate to accommodate them that they water it down to something completely meaningless, they get their way again. Either way they win. I think all the other world leaders knew that by that stage and were just furious that they couldn’t do anything about it.”

Why am I not surprised?

Climate Change pah!

Protestors? - pah!

China was admitted to the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in December 2001 after the United States dropped it’s veto. Since that time trade with China has grown very quickly and the Chinese economy has grown massively. The generally accepted view is that China is now OK as it has accepted capitalism. This is wrong. The regime in power in China today is not substantially different from the regime which drove tanks over unarmed protesters in Tiananmen Square just two years before being admitted to the WTO.

The West too often confuses democracy with capitalism, they are not the same. It is possible to have a democratic government that is socialist. It is certainly possible to have a capitalist government which is non-democratic and China is the proof of this.

Both China and the West have gained from the flow of trade but we should consider that, having now allowed so much industry to move to China, we have become reliant on an authoritarian regime which cares for nothing but perpetuating it’s own existence. We should also keep this in mind when businessmen and political leaders talk of the necessity of allowing the free flow of trade to countries where there is “competitive advantage”. This competitive advantage is, very often, the absence of political rights,  civil rights and the rule of law.

China may have legitimate reasons for not being able to commit to the climate change targets discussed in Copenhagen but it’s impossible to tell. The Chinese regime is not elected and therefore illegitimate and cannot be said to represent the views of the Chinese people. When one deals with regimes such as China one must accept that their word is worth nothing.

During the negotiations between the United States and the Soviet Union to limit Nuclear Forces Ronald Regan frequently used the phrase “Trust, but verify”. United States president, Barack Obama, seemed to understand this when, during a speech at Copenhagen he appeared to upset the Chinese by implying that verification was key to any agreement. The fact that this was mentioned caused the Chinese representatives to throw a hissy fit and refuse to attend various meetings.

Send in the tanks!

Send in the tanks!

And that’s another thing, China too often uses tantrums as a negotiating tactic. We are told by Chinese watchers that this anger is related to the difference in culture. Perhaps it is. Perhaps the Chinese fly off the handle so often because they are not used to having to justify themselves.

I wonder how the Chinese regime would have responded to the demonstrators in Copenhagen? Rather than  explaining their position perhaps they would simply have sent in the tanks.

This should give us pause for thought.

03
Sep
09

Slaughter Of The Innocents

On Wednesday morning The Bishop of Liverpool, the Right Reverend James Jones, spoke on Radio 4’s Thought For The Day. He talked of war and referred to “the inevitable slaughter of innocents”.

The Slaughter of the Innocents by Tintoretto, 1587

The Slaughter of the Innocents by Tintoretto, 1587

It’s true that, these days, we expect that war will involve the slaughter of innocents but I wonder if it’s always been that way.

Certainly armies throughout history have committed massacres after defeating opposing forces but is this the same as today’s collateral damage?

Israel often asserts a distinction between the deliberate attacks on Israeli civilians by Palestinian groups and the targeted attacks on Palestinian individuals which result in civilian casualties. When Great Britain or The United States launch missile attacks against individuals in Afghanistan and kill scores this is generally thought of as unfortunate but inevitable.

Conventional armies can claim to target specific individuals as they have the technology and the ability to assert absolute power over an area even if only temporarily. The forces which we term “terrorists” are usually the weaker side, they are the people who are reacting against a status quo. They have no standing armies and only limited technology and they often resort to isolated surprise attacks on civilians.
We brand these people “terrorists” as they aim to cause terror by but can a random explosion be more terrifying than a F16 fighter bomber screaming overhead firing missiles into the ground? Donald Rumsfeld called it “Shock and Awe” and this sounds like a pretty good definition of terror to me.

Terrorism is a tactic, it is not an enemy. You can no more declare war on terrorism than you can declare war on a siegewarefare or attrition warfare.

I wonder if this acceptance of civilian casualties might have developed during the second world war with the use of mass aerial bombing. Even though it was known that dropping bombs from thousands of feet in the air must mean a high degree of inaccuracy and consequent civilian casualties the bombing was accepted. Perhaps it was accepted because of the enormity of the struggle and the sense that this was a life or death struggle for each nation.

The military have developed more accurate missiles since then and we have been shown videos of “smart bombs” being guided directly to their target yet still we hear of attacks on wedding parties in Afghanistan.

We have become so inured to civilian casualties during conflict that now a Christian Bishop tells us that the slaughter of innocents is inevitable. Perhaps it is not? Perhaps we should be a little more careful in our choice of targets and our choice of weapons?

The fact that our opponents kill innocents is no reason for us to do so. The mass slaughter of civilians in New York nearly eight years ago can be seen as the reason for much of the current military activity by The West but surely the fact that civilians were targeted should emphasise that the reason our troops are fighting is to prevent attacks on civilians be they Americans or Afghans.

It is easier to just get angry. It is easier to fight anyone or anything. It’s easier to lob missiles and hope you get the right guy.

Inevitable?

Inevitable?

I met an American soon after 9/11 and we discussed the attack on the twin towers and the war in Iraq and I said that the Iraqis were not involved in the 9/11 attacks and I recall his response. He said “I don’t care”.

He didn’t care who the U.S. military attacked. He thought that the 9/11 attacks were so atrocious that the U.S. was justified in hitting out at anyone.

But killing random strangers only serves to enflame hatred.

The United States are reported to have mounted a large laser weapon inside a Boeing aircraft.

I have read speculation regarding effectiveness of this laser when destroying tanks but we already have very effective anti-tank weapons which can be mounted on smaller aircraft so what is the point of the laser?

I wonder of the United States hasn’t realised that it needs a weapon which can target individuals from a great distance.

Sadam Hussein goes for a walk in the garden of his palace, a telephone call is made by someone inside the palace, a military jet stops circling and moves into position. Pfzzzzzzz!! Sadam boils away into thin air and a large sum of money is deposited in the Swiss bank account of an Iraqi official.

               ———————————————————————————————————————-

Yet another British soldier was killed in Afghanistan on Thursday and in Britain there is a sense that this conflict is going nowhere. Of course it is possible for NATO to maintain control of Afghanistan and to tolerate the trickle of military casualties but are we achieving anything?

In the wake of 9/11 The United States may have two immediate goals: To bring to justice those behind the attacks on New York and, arguably, to avenge the deaths of thousands of innocents. Two overlapping and some might say contradictory goals.

In the days of the British Empire this may have resulted in punitive attacks but since the Second World War, followed by The Cold War, The United States sees itself as a moral power bringing liberty to the world and punitive strikes are not now considered an acceptable response.

The United States is trying to replay the experience of the Second World War. It’s game plan is the total occupation of it’s opponents country followed by the rebuilding of that country as a industrialised capitalist democracy.

This worked very well with Germany and Japan but this is not an appropriate response for a tribal, mostly illiterate people with a weak sense of nationhood.

More importantly America has no responsibility to bring democracy to Afghanistan. This is not to say that liberty and democracy are not excellent in themselves but only that, in defending itself, The United States need not take on the burden of nation building or democratisation.

Liberal democracy in The United States and Western Europe did not come about through outside intervention. It came about through a long struggle by the people themselves. The people struggled for liberty and they now value liberty.

It was reported in the British press recently that in one area of Helmand province as few as 150 Afghans may have voted while 10 British soldiers died to allow that election. One has to ask the question:

If the Afghans are not prepared to put their lives on the line for democracy then why should foreign soldiers?

The United States has suffered a tragic attack on it’s civilians and in response has taken on the probably impossible task of converting Afghanistan to a Western style democracy. It need not do so.

The United States was attacked and it required justice. The war in Iraq and Afghanistan must have cost numerous lives and billions of dollars. If all that blood and gold had been spent on relentless tracking down the individuals implicated in the attacks on the United States then America could have justice and in addition take pride that it had resisted the impetus to simply lash out.

To Whom It May Concern by Adrian Mitchel

25
Oct
08

No Invasion without Representation – The Absence of Democracy in Western Foriegn Policy

Recently the BBC chose democracy as the theme for it’s Radio 4 program The Moral Maze. We were asked to consider the question “Is democracy an absolute good?” and the program went on to debate the legitimacy of The West installing democracy in Iraq and whether that country is capable of sustaining democracy given it’s various ethnic and religious groupings. The BBC missed a chance to explore the role and limits of democracy.

In The West we are used to our governments arguing that a regime is beyond the pale, it’s actions unacceptable and siting the lack of democracy as proof that the regime is illegitimate and the cause of the unacceptable behaviour. But is democracy a guarantee of good behaviour?

At the beginning of The Moral Maze we were asked what was meant by democracy and the debate quickly got bogged down discussing the technicalities of Western democracy such an independent judiciary and separation of powers.

The program failed to define the essence of democracy. Such a definition might run something like “A society whose governing institutions and policies are those broadly in agreement with the wishes of a majority of it’s citizens.”
We can argue endlessly about the definition, how well these systems work and how widely spread is the suffrage but the methods of implementing democracy necessarily vary and are unavoidably imperfect. Essentially democracy is an ideal and the preceding definition attempts to summarise the expectations of democracy.

The reason democracy is considered desirable is that it provides government with policies broadly in line with public opinion. It also provides some protection for the citizen against exploitation and suffering caused by governing institutions. It does this by a self-correcting mechanism; if we don’t like a government we throw them out.
At an economic level especially democracies provide this self-correcting mechanism. No amount of spin and propaganda can disguise the failing economic policies of a government. If a policy does not provide prosperity for it’s citizens then it’s citizens will vote for something else and incompetent or misguided politicians are replaced.

While it is possible that the policies of dictatorships around the world may be those desired by it’s citizens this is unlikely as the citizen is not given any chance to provide feedback. Quite understandably, the goal of citizens living under dictatorship is for democracy. The desired policies may be more in line with Western values but the fundamental principle is not Westernisation but democratisation. People want to decide for themselves. In America people want free market polices, in Germany they do not want to invade Iraq and in Algeria they want Islam.

All this rests on the premise that citizens guide policy in democracies. Citizens notice when something is not to their liking and vote in such a way as to force the government out of office or into a U-turn. In domestic policy this is undoubtedly true. If the price of petrol is increased or if the police attempt to intimidate citizens then people will notice and react. But what if the people don’t notice? What if the people don’t react?

It is in the arena of foreign policy where the link to democracy becomes tenuous. While it is of course true that foreign policy affects citizens the connection is indirect and not always obvious. Most people take no special interest in foreign affairs and this understandable. Life is busy enough and there are a huge number of topics in which people do take an interest. Foreign policy must compete for a person’s attention alongside education, the economy, housing, crime, religion, gay rights, sport, soap operas and a plethora of other subjects. The result is that foreign policy becomes decoupled from democracy.

If we assume that the government remains genuinely committed to the well being of it’s citizens then it will continue to make policy pursuant to their best interests. However these policies will be unrestrained by democratic accountability. Policy may become overly complex, contradictory and based on dubious premises. Crucially there is no feedback from the electorate. Even amongst citizens who do take an interest in foreign policy most will consider domestic policy first when they come to vote. Incompetent politicians are not replaced and unwanted policies not corrected.
Though policies may be considered to be in the best interests of the electorate, they are not necessarily the wishes of the electorate. Allowing the import of cheap foreign goods from foreign sweatshops may result in cheaper shoes but given the choice most citizens of The West would support an end to such practices.

If Western foreign policy is not driven by a mandate from the electorate then what does drive foreign policy? The answer is lobby groups.

Lobby groups are an accepted part of political life and a legitimate method for presenting opinions to government. This is true on both domestic and foreign policy. It is right that the citizens are able to make representation to government not only individually but as part of a group of like minded individuals.
But it is the contribution of funds to political parties which should cause concern. There are strong arguments for allowing financial contributions to political parties and these are based on liberty. If I have money why should I not be able to contribute to a political party advocating policies which I support? The waters are muddied when lobby groups donate to multiple parties as they then lay themselves open to the accusation that they are merely trying to buy policy.

The danger is that political parties come to rely on such contributions and, in the absence of guidance from the electorate; parties simply adjust policy to garner funds. Many lobby groups are no more than vested interests and so policies are not arrived at democratically. He who pays the piper calls the tune and some of these lobby groups can afford to pay very well indeed.

There are lobby groups for many different issues. In the UK these interest groups include industry, commerce and The British Commonwealth. The current Labour government claims to be running an ethical foreign policy, yet still supplies fighter jet trainers to Indonesia and advocates selling a military grade air traffic control system to Tanzania. The lobby group in these examples is obviously British Aerospace.

While Western democracies send millions in aid they make billions from trade. In the interests of their citizens Western democracies use trade tariffs to protect their markets from third world goods while insisting that those same third world countries restructure and develop market economies open to Western multi-nationals.

It is in The United States where lobby groups dominate foreign policy.

The United States has a peculiar history. Isolated from the rest of the world for so long it was eventually colonised and the indigenous culture practically destroyed. The United States became the destination for people from across the world fleeing persecution or simply seeking a better life.
On arrival in The U.S. these émigrés built a great country so vast, successful and free that the citizens of the U.S. are now notorious for their ignorance of the rest of the world. Understandable in a country as large, diverse and, let’s face it, convenient. It is surprising any of them travel abroad at all.

Of course not all Americans are ignorant of the Old World. The second generation Cubans take a great interest in Fidel Castro and the second generation Irish wax lyrical about the old country. The second generation Brits trade on snob appeal and it is a cliché that American Jews run policy toward Israel. It is disturbing to note that Christian fundamentalist now also contribute to shaping policy toward Israel.

The United States continues to impose punitive sanctions against Cuba 43 years after the revolution which brought Fidel Castro to power yet how many Americans know of the disgraceful role of The United States in Cuba prior to the revolution?
Until 9/11 Irish Americans would throw dollars into buckets carried around pubs in Boston. These funds were collected by NORAID, ostensibly an Irish American support group but recognised by the British government to be channelling funds to the IRA. How many Americans know the first thing about Ireland?
For decades now The United States has not found itself able to condemn Israel’s illegal settlement of Palestinian territory in The West Bank and Gaza. Last year George Bush called the current Israeli Prime Minister a “man of peace.” Yet how many Americans know that was held responsible by a Knesset parliamentary committee for the 1982 massacre of Palestinians in Lebanon? Though the U.S. rages against France’s threatened security council veto how many Americans know that the U.S. has used it’s veto over 70 times mostly on resolutions relating to the Middle East?
As the majority of Americans know little and care less about Cuba, Ireland or Israel, how can these policies possibly be said to be democratic?

Democracy is a great thing, it defends liberty and ensures domestic policy remains broadly in line with public opinion but citizens derive no benefit from the democracy of other countries. It may be argued that democracies are less likely to launch aggressive wars but politicians learned long ago how to present war as humanitarian intervention. The British Empire was built on such deception and to those subject to policies of a foreign nation the form of government is irrelevant. Just recently, while America looked the other way, the policy of democratic Israeli lead to the death of an American peace activist under a military bulldozer.

The Nazis were brought to power by democracy, the British Empire was ruled by a democracy and a democracy was the first and, so far, only country to use nuclear weapons in anger.

The impetus for democracy lies in each individuals desire to run their own affairs and the acceptance that this is true of everyone else. As Churchill famously noted “Democracy is the least worst for of government” and indeed our faith in democracy lies in the understanding that a democratic government’s capacity for ill is limited by the necessity of obtaining the consent of the governed. Foreign policy has not such limitation and is therefore not democratic.
- © 2003 Nigel Chaloner




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